Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.176482 1.329357 1.496385 1.692713 1.917532 2.167363 2.466617
2025-12-21 0.917901 1.113501 1.344318 1.637907 2.002987 2.444066 3.020421
2025-12-28 0.799037 1.027167 1.313952 1.703492 2.222720 2.896426 3.845605
2026-01-04 0.706807 0.953548 1.280600 1.750226 2.414491 3.331202 4.710744
2026-01-11 0.633888 0.891329 1.248491 1.786749 2.588799 3.757783 5.623922
2026-01-18 0.572079 0.834090 1.212455 1.807595 2.736602 4.158826 6.554360
2026-01-25 0.509294 0.766343 1.150770 1.778653 2.799996 4.433718 7.321771
2026-02-01 0.446128 0.689985 1.066007 1.700831 2.771777 4.553087 7.841642
2026-02-08 0.399617 0.634066 1.006059 1.653918 2.785137 4.737890 8.495899
2026-02-15 0.362074 0.588340 0.957049 1.618202 2.810736 4.943159 9.213135
2026-02-22 0.345670 0.575569 0.960609 1.672189 2.999725 5.462592 10.604697
2026-03-01 0.325638 0.554435 0.947370 1.693973 3.130997 5.889878 11.879945
2026-03-08 0.298827 0.520045 0.909464 1.669974 3.179878 6.179616 12.954267
2026-03-15 0.271386 0.482034 0.861512 1.621972 3.176649 6.367343 13.849653
2026-03-22 0.262205 0.476442 0.872475 1.689417 3.415651 7.091410 16.089816
2026-03-29 0.251175 0.466216 0.873475 1.736802 3.619033 7.770170 18.360312
2026-04-05 0.239831 0.454209 0.869637 1.773466 3.803910 8.435811 20.734522
2026-04-12 0.227780 0.439613 0.859063 1.794327 3.955980 9.048784 23.100867
2026-04-19 0.211912 0.415873 0.827533 1.765691 3.989803 9.383624 24.791751
2026-04-26 0.193034 0.384325 0.776850 1.688516 3.898172 9.394364 25.581694
2026-05-03 0.178647 0.360922 0.741294 1.641985 3.875072 9.576085 26.905119
2026-05-10 0.166475 0.341196 0.711884 1.606555 3.875040 9.818312 28.462827
2026-05-17 0.162399 0.338516 0.719526 1.660119 4.109477 10.728031 32.292770